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Football

โšฝ NPFL, โฐ Tomorrow 23:15(in 30h 0m)

Enyimba vs Rangers International

๐Ÿ“Š Why this pick

PASS Enyimba Win
1.92 at 1xBet 1.96 fair โˆ’2.15% edge
โœ‹ No bet

No bet here. The best price, Enyimba Win at 1.92, needs 52%; our number is 51%.

Needs 52%Model 51%
Model Market 51% Break-even
  • Model and market agree on this one.
  • Expected goals 1.38 vs 0.72; likeliest score 1โ€“0.
  • Full squads, no injury adjustments.
  • Home price drifted 2.1% since open.
No value at this price Confidence

๐ŸŽฏ Most likely scores

  1. 1โ€“0 15.4%
  2. 0โ€“0 13.7%
  3. 1โ€“1 13.6%
  4. 2โ€“0 11.7%
  5. 2โ€“1 8.4%
  6. 0โ€“1 7.4%
Expected goals
1.38 โ€“ 0.72
Before absences
1.38 โ€“ 0.72
Clean sheet
49% / 25%
Low-score ฯ
-0.12
51% Enyimba30% Draw19% Rangers International

No significant absences. Both sides at full strength.

๐ŸŽฏ Markets

Every market we price for this match. Model is our blended estimate (60% model, rest market), fair is the price it implies, and the amber price is the best across SportyBet, 1xBet, 22Bet.

Match result

Who wins after 90 minutes.

  • Enyimba Win

    Model 51%, fair 1.96

    1.92

    1xBet

    โˆ’2.1%

  • Draw

    Model 30%, fair 3.29

    3.15

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.2%

  • Rangers International Win

    Model 19%, fair 5.37

    4.75

    1xBet

    โˆ’11.5%

Double chance

Covers two of the three results. Safer, shorter prices.

  • Enyimba or Draw (1X)

    Model 81%, fair 1.23, derived

    1.19

    1xBet

    โˆ’3.2%

  • Enyimba or Rangers International (12)

    Model 70%, fair 1.44, derived

    1.37

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.7%

  • Draw or Rangers International (X2)

    Model 49%, fair 2.04, derived

    1.92

    1xBet

    โˆ’5.8%

Draw no bet

Stake returned if itโ€™s a draw.

  • Enyimba (DNB)

    Model 73%, fair 1.37, refund 31%, derived

    1.33

    1xBet

    โˆ’1.8%

  • Rangers International (DNB)

    Model 27%, fair 3.74, refund 31%, derived

    3.40

    1xBet

    โˆ’6.3%

Asian handicap

A goal head start or deficit. Whole lines refund on a tie.

  • Enyimba -1.5

    Model 26%, fair 3.90, derived

    3.79

    1xBet

    โˆ’2.8%

  • Rangers International +1.5

    Model 74%, fair 1.34, derived

    1.27

    1xBet

    โˆ’5.6%

  • Enyimba -1

    Model 34%, fair 2.92, refund 25%, derived

    2.85

    1xBet

    โˆ’1.7%

  • Rangers International +1

    Model 66%, fair 1.52, refund 25%, derived

    1.43

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.5%

  • Enyimba -0.5

    Model 51%, fair 1.97, derived

    1.90

    1xBet

    โˆ’3.4%

  • Rangers International +0.5

    Model 49%, fair 2.03, derived

    1.90

    1xBet

    โˆ’6.6%

  • Enyimba +0.5

    Model 82%, fair 1.23, derived

    1.18

    1xBet

    โˆ’3.8%

  • Rangers International -0.5

    Model 18%, fair 5.42, derived

    4.98

    SportyBet

    โˆ’8.1%

  • Enyimba +1

    Model 93%, fair 1.07, refund 13%, derived

    1.02

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.1%

  • Rangers International -1

    Model 7%, fair 15.22, refund 13%, derived

    13.76

    SportyBet

    โˆ’8.4%

  • Enyimba +1.5

    Model 94%, fair 1.06, derived

    1.01

    SportyBet

    โˆ’4.8%

  • Rangers International -1.5

    Model 6%, fair 17.44, derived

    15.79

    SportyBet

    โˆ’9.4%

Total goals

Goals by both teams combined.

  • Over 1.5 goals

    Model 64%, fair 1.57, derived

    1.48

    1xBet

    โˆ’5.5%

  • Under 1.5 goals

    Model 36%, fair 2.77, derived

    2.67

    1xBet

    โˆ’3.5%

  • Over 2.5 goals

    Model 35%, fair 2.83

    2.60

    1xBet

    โˆ’8.1%

  • Under 2.5 goals

    Model 65%, fair 1.55

    1.50

    1xBet

    โˆ’3.0%

  • Over 3.5 goals

    Model 16%, fair 6.10, derived

    5.68

    1xBet

    โˆ’6.9%

  • Under 3.5 goals

    Model 84%, fair 1.20, derived

    1.14

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.7%

Both teams to score

Does each side find the net?

  • BTTS Yes

    Model 40%, fair 2.51

    2.35

    1xBet

    โˆ’6.5%

  • BTTS No

    Model 60%, fair 1.66

    1.58

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.8%

Team goals

One teamโ€™s goals only.

  • Enyimba over 0.5

    Model 75%, fair 1.34, derived

    1.27

    1xBet

    โˆ’5.0%

  • Enyimba over 1.5

    Model 40%, fair 2.49, derived

    2.38

    1xBet

    โˆ’4.6%

  • Rangers International over 0.5

    Model 52%, fair 1.92, derived

    1.79

    1xBet

    โˆ’6.9%

  • Rangers International over 1.5

    Model 17%, fair 5.96, derived

    5.40

    SportyBet

    โˆ’9.4%

Clean sheet

Keeps the opponent to zero.

  • Enyimba clean sheet

    Model 48%, fair 2.08, derived

    2.03

    1xBet

    โˆ’2.6%

  • Rangers International clean sheet

    Model 25%, fair 3.97, derived

    3.76

    1xBet

    โˆ’5.3%

โž• More fair prices

Double chance

12
70% 1.44
1X
81% 1.23
X2
49% 2.04

Asian handicap (Enyimba)

-1.5
26% 3.86
-1
26%, push 25% 2.88
-0.5
51% 1.95
0
51%, push 31% 1.35
+0.5
82% 1.22
+1
82%, push 13% 1.07

Total goals

Over 0.5
86% 1.16
Over 1.5
63% 1.57
Over 2.5
35% 2.85
Over 3.5
16% 6.20
Over 4.5
6% 16.10

๐Ÿง  Reasoning

Four checks run over the numbers above. Each sentence is generated from computed values.

Market Intelligence

Neutral

Market is quiet and efficiently priced

  • Lowest margin: 1xBet at 4.88%; highest: SportyBet at 8.05%.
  • Normal fluctuation (+2.1% from open).

Squad & Context

Neutral

Full-strength lineups

  • No significant absences. Both sides at full strength.

Quantitative Model

Neutral

Model agrees with the market

  • Expected goals 1.38 โ€“ 0.72 (ฯ -0.12).
  • Model 1X2 51.2% / 30.7% / 18.1% vs market 50.6% / 30.0% / 19.5%.
  • Most likely score 1โ€“0 (15.4%).

Risk Manager

Argues caution

No stake โ€” no positive expectation

  • Every available price is at or below fair value after removing margin.

โœ‹ Verdict

Pass

No selection clears fair value at the best available price. Passing is a position: the margin is the bookmakerโ€™s edge, not yours.

Live AI explanation

Subscriber access. Uses the backend fixture feed; AI may make mistakes. Up to 10 requests daily.